Wednesday 28 September 2022
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Binance’s CZ: High Inflation And Recession Fears Will Drive Bitcoin Adoption

It’s safe to say CZ is bullish on bitcoin and crypto’s future. Changpeng Zhao visited CNBC’s Squawk on the Street and flipped the prevalent bearish narrative on its head. In less than 2 minutes. Most of the things CZ said are based on common sense and a basic understanding of market forces, but still, it’s calming to hear a leader of the industry saying them. Especially in this fear-ridden stage of the cycle we’re in. .@binance CEO @cz_binance: The macroeconomics situation will be high inflation, the talk about recession…all of those things drive adoption into #Bitcoin.@CNBC pic.twitter.com/EP8OHwPeAa — Squawk on the Street (@SquawkStreet) July 28, 2022 Notice that even though Binance’s business is dependent on altcoins’ performance, especially BNB, CZ makes a clear distinction between bitcoin and crypto in general. On the other hand, even though the interview is about bitcoin, CZ sneaks crypto here and there. In any case, let’s analyze what Binance’s CEO thinks about the current market conditions and the future of bitcoin and crypto. What Did CZ Squawked On US National TV? The first thing the interviewer was interested in was the way that bitcoin bulls have defended the “20Kish” line. According to CZ, that was “the last peak” so there’s a “psychological barrier” there. So far, bitcoin’s price had never go lower than the previous cycle’s all-time high. This time it was different, probably because of Tesla’s paper hands and the Terra collapse. However, the market ended up defending the 20K line. The interviewer then asked about other factors, like the increase in money supply or bitcoin’s correlation to Nasdaq. According to CZ, those are two relevant factors, but in the end “it’s a mass psychology market” and the last ATH is the barrier. It’s only fair that we quote Binance Academy for an explanation of the psychology of market cycles: “In short, market sentiment is the overall feeling that investors and traders have regarding the price action of an asset. When the market’s sentiment is positive, and prices are rising continuously, there is said to be a bullish trend (often referred to as a bull market). The opposite is called a bear market, when there is an ongoing decline in prices.” Recently, as we regularly do here at NewsBTC, we checked on the famed fear and greed index for insights into the current market sentiment. This is what we found: “Last week, the indicator’s value had risen up to even 34 as the coin’s price saw a recovery rally. However, as the run ended and the crypto once again slumped down, so did the sentiment among the investors. The report notes that this trend indicates participants in the BTC (and wider crypto) market believe that this recent rally was just a fakeout.” BNB price chart on BinanceUS | Source: BNB/USD on TradingView.com What’s the next catalyst? Back to the interview, the next question was about what factor could catapult bitcoin and crypto into their next chapter. Cautiously, CZ said that no one can..

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Solana Appreciated After Latest Development, What Are The Next Trading Levels?

Solana soared in double digits over the last 48 hours. The coin touched the $43 mark before it started to retrace on its chart again. In the last 24 hours, SOL just lost 0.1% of it value and stuck to its bullish price action. Owing to its recent development, Solana has displayed a price rally. Technical outlook of SOL was also bullish at press time. The altcoin witnessed an increase in buying strength. This has been influential in driving the price up. Solana has opened up permanent retail space in Manhattan. These stores are specifically dedicated to all things related to cryptocurrencies. Solana Spaces, CEO Vibhu Norby also mentioned that these physical Solana retail stores have an intention to introduce approximately 100,000 people each month to the Solana ecosystem. He also hinted that there are possibilities to open a virtual storefront soon in the future. A grant from the Solana Foundation has helped the Solana Spaces to set up a shop in Hudson Yards New York. Solana Price Analysis: Four Hour Chart Solana was priced at $42 on the four hour chart | Source: SOLUSD on TradingView SOL was trading at $42 at the time of writing. The altcoin was finally able to break past the $40 price level. Overhead resistance for the coin stood at $47. SOL has struggled to move past that price zone for couple of weeks now. For Solana to continue its bullish momentum, it has to trade above the $43 price ceiling level for a substantial period of time. Nearest support line for the coin was at $40 and $38. If the coin loses the $38 price floor, the next support line awaits the altcoin at $36. Trading volume of Solana registered a small decline which indicated that selling pressure might have been on the rise. Technical Analysis Solana displayed a fall in buying strength on the four hour chart | Source: SOLUSD on TradingView SOL had just touched the overbought price zone, however, as price gently moved south so did buying strength. Although there has been a fall in buyers, buying strength remained higher than selling strength at the time of writing. The Relative Strength Index was slightly below the 60-mark which meant that buyers exceeded sellers on the chart. The price of SOL was above the 20-SMA line, the reading indicated that buyers were driving the price momentum on the chart. SOL was also above the 50-SMA and 200-SMA line, that indicated bullish force in the market. Related Reading | Bitcoin Flirts With Hurdle At $24k, Why It Could Be In Early Days Of Recovery Solana flashed buy signal on the four hour chart | Source: SOLUSD on TradingView The altcoin reflected increased buying pressure on other indicators as well. Moving Average Convergence Divergence pictures price momentum and change in the same. MACD underwent bullish crossover and presented green signal bars which are tied to buy signals for the altcoin. Bollinger Bands depict price volatility and fluctuations in the same. The bands have opened up wide which indicated that price of the altc..

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New Milestone May Be The Kick Dogecoin Needs To Break $0.1

Dogecoin has been enjoying the love being shown to it by prominent figures in the space, such as Elon Musk and Mark Cuban. However, the digital asset has not been faring well since hitting its all-time high of $0.7 in the middle of 2021. The decline in price that followed has seen Dogecoin lose more than 90% of its value since then. But a new development has begun to paint a bullish picture for the digital asset. New Dogecoin Addresses Soar One of the reasons that Dogecoin’s price has continued to suffer has been the lack of interest from the crypto community. Despite its community still pushing the meme coin, it was not seeing enough adoption to push the value of the asset back up. That is, until now, when Dogecoin is beginning to experience a significant uptick in interest. Related Reading | Ripple (XRP) Is Up 190% From Cycle Low, But Will It Ever Reach $3? New data shows that the adoption of Dogecoin is up, given the number of addresses that are transacting on the network. Data from IntoTheBlock shows that the number of new daily DOGE addresses had grown by a whopping 256% in the last day. DOGE price continues to struggle | Source: DOGEUSD on TradingView.com Dogecoin has now hit its highest point in terms of new daily addresses, rising from its 14.4k point to the new 38.43k number. This increase in the number of people using DOGE on the network points to healthy growth for the meme coin. So despite the fact that the price of the digital asset is down by a large margin, it is enticing investors who likely see the current price of the digital asset as a prime entry point. Better Days Ahead Dogecoin has been seeing some good events happen in the last week. Besides seeing a significant jump in its daily addresses, it has also undergone an upgrade that has brought more good publicity to the meme coin. Related Reading | Why Cardano (ADA) May Breakout In A Bull Run To $1 The team announced recently that the Dogecoin website had received an overhaul. Since the meme coin has been getting a lot of bad publicity lately, leading to FUD in its community, it has pulled out all the stops in an effort to combat this. Dogecoin Core also received an upgrade with the software version 1.14.6 going live this week. This was done in a bid to strengthen the network and make transactions more efficient. On the investor side, Dogecoin holders are not faring too badly compared to others in the space. Data shows that the majority of DOGE holders are still seeing profit at 52%. This put 45% in the red and 4% of holders currently sitting in neutral territory. Long-term holder composition also continues to dominate, with 65% holding their coins for more than a year. Featured image from MarketForces Africa, chart from TradingView.com Follow Best Owie on Twitter for market insights, updates, and the occasional funny tweet…

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Bitcoin Breaks $24k As Exchange Whale Ratio Declines

On-chain data shows the Bitcoin exchange whale ratio has declined recently as the crypto surges above the $24k mark. Bitcoin Exchange Whale Ratio (EMA 7) Is Currently Below 0.50 As per a post from CryptoQuant, the BTC exchange whale ratio has gone down recently while the price has surged up. The “exchange whale ratio” is an indicator that measures the ratio between the sum of the top 10 Bitcoin transactions to exchanges and the total exchange inflows. exchange whale ratio = sum of top 10 inflow txs (in BTC) ÷ total exchange inflows (in BTC) Here, the ten largest transfers are considered as they generally belong to the whales. Thus, when the value of the ratio is high, it means whales are making up for a large part of the total inflows right now. Since investors usually send their BTC to exchanges for selling purposes, this trend can be a sign that whales are dumping at the moment. and hence can be bearish for the crypto’s price. On the other hand, low values of the metric can suggest whales are currently occupying a normal amount of the total inflows. Such a trend could be either neutral or bullish for the coin’s value. Now, here is a chart that shows the trend in the 7-day exponential moving-average Bitcoin exchange whale ratio over the past month: The EMA-7 value of the metric looks to have been down in recent days | Source: CryptoQuant As you can see in the above graph, the Bitcoin exchange whale ratio (EMA-7) has been below a value of 0.50 for seven out of the last eight days. The 0.50 mark is the dumping threshold for the EMA-7 version of the metric and as the indicator has been below this value recently, the selling pressure from whales has been low. While the ratio has gone down, BTC’s price has enjoyed some upwards momentum as the coin surged up above the $24k mark earlier today. BTC Price At the time of writing, Bitcoin’s price floats around $23.5k, down 1% in the last seven days. Over the past month, the crypto has gained 15% in value. The below chart shows the trend in the price of the coin over the last five days. Looks like the value of the crypto has observed some upwards movement during the last couple of days | Source: BTCUSD on TradingView Around ten days ago Bitcoin had recovered above $23k, but only a few days later the crypto’s price again started to go downhill. However, in the last couple of days, the coin enjoyed some sharp upwards momentum as it retook $23k. Earlier today, BTC even broke above $24k, though it wasn’t long before the crypto saw a slump and came down to the current level. Featured image from Karl-Heinz Müller on Unsplash.com, charts from TradingView.com, CryptoQuant.com

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Bitcoin Flirts With Hurdle At $24k, Why It Could Be In Early Days Of Recovery

Bitcoin continues to trend to the upside over the short term as the crypto market hints at further gains. The bullish momentum seems to be driven by the positive earnings seasons and the U.S. Federal Reserve (Fed) interest rates hike. The financial institution announced a 75 basis points (bps) increase in interest staying within market expectations. Bloomberg Intelligence’s Senior Commodity Strategist Mike McGlone believes the Fed might have marked the pivot for Bitcoin. By staying within market expectations, the financial institutions might give room for the bullish trend to expand in the coming months. The Fed has been trying to mitigate inflation in the U.S. dollar, as measured by the Consumer Price Index (CPI). This metric stands at a 40-year high but seems poised to trend downwards. The Bloomberg Intelligence analyst claims the price decrease across the commodities sector hints at this possibility and could provide the Fed with the support to “lighten the rate hike sledgehammer”. This would benefit stores of value assets, such as Gold, U.S. treasury bonds, and Bitcoin. The cryptocurrency has been suffering, McGlone argues because it’s deemed a nascent asset with relatively new technology. This disadvantage might fade into the background as Bitcoin’s adoption curve increases versus its total supply. As seen below, if the cryptocurrency follows the internet’s adoption curve, it could record over 1 billion users by 2025. BTC’s adoption curve compared to the internet. Source: Visbitcoin via Michael Levin In the short term, BTC’s price might benefit from mitigation in the macro-economic factors playing against it. The next major event will be July’s CPI print to be announced in August, which might result in more fuel for the current bullish price action. McGlone wrote: (Fed’s) “meeting by meeting” comment may mark the pivot for #Bitcoin to resume its tendency to outperform most assets. New and untested are becoming past tense fast for the benchmark crypto, likely in the early recovery days from a severe drawdown. Can Bitcoin Resume Its “Propensity To Outperform”? Further data provided by McGlone shows a decrease in BTC’s price 250-day volatility versus the Bloomberg Commodity Spot Index. As seen below, whenever this metric trends downside, the price of Bitcoin reacts moving in the opposite direction. BTC’s price volatility declines versus Bloomberg Commodity Index hinting at potential price appreciation. Source: Bloomberg Intelligence A decline in BTC’s price 250-day volatility marked the beginning of the 2012 and 2017 rallies. In that sense, McGlone pointed out: The lowest-ever Bitcoin volatility vs. the Bloomberg Commodity Index (BCOM) may portend a resumption of the crypto’s propensity to outperform (…). If history is a guide, Bitcoin volatility is more likely to recover vs. commodities when the crypto heads towards new highs.

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Impressive Rally Puts Bitcoin Above $24,000, But Is $28,000 Still Possible?

Bitcoin has rallied once more above $24,000. This impressive rally follows an intense week where the FOMC’s announcement has basically shown that the United States is now in a recession. Investors had flocked to the bitcoin off the back of the news, causing the digital asset to surge immensely during this time. As the digital asset has beat one important technical level, it remains to see if it can beat another. Accumulation Triggers Rally There are a lot of factors that usually trigger a rally, such as the one that has sent the price of bitcoin soaring high. One of those has been a renewed accumulation trend from investors who are flocking to the digital asset to provide cover during uncertain economic times. Such a rally, if it continues, can put the digital asset on a well-established bull trend. Related Reading | Bitcoin Bounces Off Consolidation Range, What Lies In Store? However, there are still obstacles in the way of bitcoin. This means that even though the digital asset continues to rise now, it could very well witness a reversal trend that sends it spiraling back downwards. To avoid such a fate, it is important that the sellers are completely cut out, replacing these investors and traders with more determined long-term holders. BTC's hold on $24,000 remains shaky | Source: BTCUSD on TradingView.com Whales have been a subset that has been trying to reverse the sell-offs. With the decline in bitcoin, it had presented an opportunity for investors to increase their holdings, and it was especially prominent among investors holding between 100-1,000 BTC on their balances. Can bitcoin Reach $28,000? Bitcoin’s recovery has put it on an impressive bullish path. However, this bullish trend has not been fully established. It has seen some obstacles along the way, and bears have begun to put up resistance in the market. An example has been at the $24,000 level. Although bitcoin has been able to beat this level multiple times, it continues to fight a hard battle to hold onto it. The mounting resistance at this point has proven to be an important level for bears to hold. Related Reading | Elevated Bitcoin Open Interest Levels Puts Market In Vulnerable Position For the cryptocurrency to reach $28,000, it would have to beat the resistance at $24,000 and further at $25,000. Furthermore, there is an expected resistance at $28,000, given that it was the yearly low for bitcoin in 2021. However, if accumulation continues to ramp up at the rate it is, the digital asset has a good chance of reaching this high. Featured image from GoBanking Rates, chart from TradingView.com Follow Best Owie on Twitter for market insights, updates, and the occasional funny tweet…

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XRP Sustains Solid Momentum To $0.37 In All-Green 7-Day Climb

Ripple (XRP) has walked the last mile after it waded lows at $0.326 and surged by 16% in the last 48 hours. While everything is looking green and bullish, XRP is still faced with the $0.381 resistance, and if the coin fails to shoot over that means a correction is looming. A candlestick close that goes under $0.381 can debunk the bearish outlook for XRP. Ripple price showed colossal strength as it ricocheted off a support zone that hereinafter triggered a bullish streak seen in the past two days. While it was looking extremely bullish as it was able to sustain its momentum at $0.37, investors can’t be overconfident as the recent rally could lead to a retracement or an extension. XRP Pulls Off 16% Surge In 48 Hours Ripple price was able to puncture right below the trend line which indicates buying pressure has paused. Even so, Ripple was able to pull around after soaking it up at $0.326. This evidently stirred up a 16% surge in a little over 48 hours. XRP price may either go above $0.381 and make that as a support line or possibly retrace and retest the $0.340 zone. Looking at the current market sentiment, a retracement is more likely to happen if the BTC price goes for a u-turn. In effect, the XRP price can always fall back to the $0.340 support zone. Now, if the barrier or resistance zone is breached, the Ripple price may plunge to the $0.326 level. However, in the event that Ripple price forms a daily candlestick that goes above o$0.381, then this invalidates the bearish confluence. With this development, the XRP price can spike towards $0.439. Can XRP Go Around The Bearish Divergence Pattern? Ripple is currently painting a bearish divergence formation which should be taken seriously. The only way to go around the divergence is for the XRP price to plunge or if the XRP price can successfully increase and bypass the invalidation point seen at the $0.48 line. A warning was recently issued on July 26 as the XRP price was jilted from a trend line that dates back to April of last year. In effect, a $0.24 target was announced which is based on Fibonacci and Elliot Wave projections. On July 27, the Ripple price was seen to go into reverse with an upsurge in volume and an extreme bullish candle. Moreover, a 3-day morning star pattern was formed which encourages traders to remain glued to bullish targets. XRP price may go as high as $2 or even $10 one fine day. However, right now, being overconfident about this can be extremely risky profit-wise. XRP total market cap at $17.9 billion on the daily chart | Source: TradingView.com Featured image from Medium, chart from TradingView.com

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Ethereum Barrels Past $1,700 – Next Target: $2,000

Ethereum (ETH) price overshoots above $1,700 hinting a bullish momentum. And everyone was blown away. James Seyffart, Bloomberg Intelligence research analyst, was impressed: “Ethereum just flew right through resistance there.” Bitcoin, Ethereum, and other cryptocurrencies have soared following the Fed interest rate hike of 0.75%. It was indeed an optimistic kind of domino effect for the crypto space. Can ETH Stay Above $1,700? Now, that ETH was able to do the inconceivable, all that’s left for ETH to do is to maintain that momentum and do everything in its power to stay above the $1,700 line. More so, Nasdaq Composite stocks were also up by 2.67% on Thursday despite the U.S. economic slump revealed in the GDP report. This is regarded to be Nasdaq’s recent all-time high since April 2020. In addition, this is considered the biggest Nasdaq rate hike since December 16, 2008, wherein Ben Bernanke, Fed’s ex-chairman shaved off the interest to almost zero in the middle of a global financial crisis. Ethereum is set to showcase a bull run in line with the merge event happening in September. ETH price shows a forking movement sliced between the two impulse waves which may result in some problems with holding ETH. A possible retracement towards the $1,270 level remains a possibility. A breach on the $1,250 level can invalidate this recent rally. The weekly forecast on ETH price is validated as the second largest crypto made it through the 1.5-1 trading setup. Target Zone Hit July 28, Next Target: $2,000 Analysts have let in a couple of perspectives on July 22 regarding ETH’s potential knife catch or v-shape retracement and liquidation. The knife catch may occur at the $1,300-$1,350 level or target the $1,900 zone after the decline. Invalidation of an upswing has been moved to $1,250 to create some space for adjustments and accuracy. In fact, analysts and experts recommend waiting for a breach that offshoots $1,460 to gain more confidence in trading ETH. And that happened recently. The first target zone was punched through on July 28. Traders who went with the big moves of ETH are currently gaining strides in profitability with the coin. ETH price was able to successfully validate its bull run as it swishes towards $1,900 in the short term. ETH may probably hit the $2,000 level and all it needs to do is stay afloat and hover above $1,700. The 2,000 level is the next potential target, with a resistance zone set at $2,158. ETH total market cap at $384 billion on the daily chart | Source: TradingView.com Featured image from TIME, chart from TradingView.com

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Semantics? Analysts unpack ‘technical recession’ as crypto markets recover

Data from the United States commerce department suggests America has entered a technical recession, but market analysts have highlighted key metrics that suggest investors are optimistic. The American economy shrunk for the second consecutive quarter, according to government data released on Thursday, fitting the criteria for a technical recession. The Biden Administration maintains that the U.S. is not in a recession, highlighting low unemployment rates and other metrics that counter the argument. Mati Greenspan, founder & CEO of Quantum Economics, addressed the topic in his latest QE newsletter, noting a paradoxical effect between the GDP drop and a surge in stocks and other risk assets. He attributed this move to the U.S. Federal Reserve’s decision to raise interest rates by 0.75%, which saw cryptocurrency markets outperform stocks, with Ethere (ETH) surging 5% immediately after the announcement. Related: Bitcoin bull run ‘getting interesting’ as BTC price hits 6-week high Greenspa..

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Bitcoin holds $24K as USD taps 3-week lows on eurozone inflation report

Bitcoin (BTC) sought to pin $24,000 as support before the July 29 Wall Street open as fresh inflation data sparked worries for the euro. BTC/USD 1-hour candle chart (Bitstamp). Source: TradingViewEurozone inflation estimate shows no peakData from Cointelegraph Markets Pro and TradingView showed BTC/USD maintaining most of its latest gains after spiking to nearly $24,500 overnight. The day’s macro action delivered painful news for the European Economic Area (EEA), as the latest estimates for euro inflation came in at 8.9% for July — still climbing from June’s 8.6%. “Looking at the main components of euro area inflation, energy is expected to have the highest annual rate in July (39.7%, compared with 42.0% in June), followed by food, alcohol & tobacco (9.8%, compared with 8.9% in June), non-energy industrial goods (4.5%, compared with 4.3% in June) and services (3.7%, compared with 3.4% in June),” an accompanying report compiled by Eurostat read. The data provided a curious contrast in ..

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