Wednesday 25 May 2022
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TA: Bitcoin Breaks Key Support, Why BTC Could Extend Losses

Bitcoin failed to stay above the $46,000 support against the US Dollar. BTC is sliding and might even test the $43,200 support zone.

  • Bitcoin is down over 4% and there was a move below the $46,000 support.
  • The price is trading below $45,500 and the 100 hourly simple moving average.
  • There was a break below a key breakout pattern with support near $46,800 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair (data feed from Kraken).
  • The pair could extend decline and test the $43,200 support zone in the near term.

Bitcoin Price Dips Below Support

Bitcoin price started a key decline after it struggled to stay above $46,500 and $46,400. BTC declined below the $46,000 support to move into a short-term bearish zone.

There was a clear move below the 50% Fib retracement level of the upward wave from the $44,470 swing low $48,200 high. The bears were able to push the price below the $45,500 support and the 100 hourly simple moving average.

Besides, there was a break below a key breakout pattern with support near $46,800 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair. Bitcoin is now trading below the 76.4% Fib retracement level of the upward wave from the $44,470 swing low $48,200 high.

Source: BTCUSD on TradingView.com

An immediate support on the downside is near the $44,450 level. The next major support is seen near the $44,000 level. The main support now sits near the $43,320 level. It is near the 1.236 Fib extension level of the upward wave from the $44,470 swing low $48,200 high. A downside break below the $43,320 support zone could send the price to $42,000 in the near term.

Upsides Capped in BTC?

If bitcoin remains stable above the $44,450 support level, it could attempt an upside correction. An immediate resistance on the upside is near the $45,500 level.

The next major resistance is near the $45,800 level. The key hurdle is now forming near the $46,350 level (the previous breakdown zone), above which the price might rise steadily. In the stated case, it could test the $47,200 level and the 100 hourly simple moving average.

Technical indicators:

Hourly MACD – The MACD is slowly gaining pace in the bearish zone.

Hourly RSI (Relative Strength Index) – The RSI for BTC/USD is now in the oversold region.

Major Support Levels – $44,450, followed by $43,320.

Major Resistance Levels – $45,500, $45,800 and $46,350.

About Sean Patterson

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