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Bitcoin Breaks $24k As Exchange Whale Ratio Declines

On-chain data shows the Bitcoin exchange whale ratio has declined recently as the crypto surges above the $24k mark. Bitcoin Exchange Whale Ratio (EMA 7) Is Currently Below 0.50 As per a post from CryptoQuant, the BTC exchange whale ratio has gone down recently while the price has surged up. The “exchange whale ratio” is an indicator that measures the ratio between the sum of the top 10 Bitcoin transactions to exchanges and the total exchange inflows. exchange whale ratio = sum of top 10 inflow txs (in BTC) ÷ total exchange inflows (in BTC) Here, the ten largest transfers are considered as they generally belong to the whales. Thus, when the value of the ratio is high, it means whales are making up for a large part of the total inflows right now. Since investors usually send their BTC to exchanges for selling purposes, this trend can be a sign that whales are dumping at the moment. and hence can be bearish for the crypto’s price. On the other hand, low values of the metric can suggest whales are currently occupying a normal amount of the total inflows. Such a trend could be either neutral or bullish for the coin’s value. Now, here is a chart that shows the trend in the 7-day exponential moving-average Bitcoin exchange whale ratio over the past month: The EMA-7 value of the metric looks to have been down in recent days | Source: CryptoQuant As you can see in the above graph, the Bitcoin exchange whale ratio (EMA-7) has been below a value of 0.50 for seven out of the last eight days. The 0.50 mark is the dumping threshold for the EMA-7 version of the metric and as the indicator has been below this value recently, the selling pressure from whales has been low. While the ratio has gone down, BTC’s price has enjoyed some upwards momentum as the coin surged up above the $24k mark earlier today. BTC Price At the time of writing, Bitcoin’s price floats around $23.5k, down 1% in the last seven days. Over the past month, the crypto has gained 15% in value. The below chart shows the trend in the price of the coin over the last five days. Looks like the value of the crypto has observed some upwards movement during the last couple of days | Source: BTCUSD on TradingView Around ten days ago Bitcoin had recovered above $23k, but only a few days later the crypto’s price again started to go downhill. However, in the last couple of days, the coin enjoyed some sharp upwards momentum as it retook $23k. Earlier today, BTC even broke above $24k, though it wasn’t long before the crypto saw a slump and came down to the current level. Featured image from Karl-Heinz Müller on Unsplash.com, charts from TradingView.com, CryptoQuant.com

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Bitcoin Flirts With Hurdle At $24k, Why It Could Be In Early Days Of Recovery

Bitcoin continues to trend to the upside over the short term as the crypto market hints at further gains. The bullish momentum seems to be driven by the positive earnings seasons and the U.S. Federal Reserve (Fed) interest rates hike. The financial institution announced a 75 basis points (bps) increase in interest staying within market expectations. Bloomberg Intelligence’s Senior Commodity Strategist Mike McGlone believes the Fed might have marked the pivot for Bitcoin. By staying within market expectations, the financial institutions might give room for the bullish trend to expand in the coming months. The Fed has been trying to mitigate inflation in the U.S. dollar, as measured by the Consumer Price Index (CPI). This metric stands at a 40-year high but seems poised to trend downwards. The Bloomberg Intelligence analyst claims the price decrease across the commodities sector hints at this possibility and could provide the Fed with the support to “lighten the rate hike sledgehammer”. This would benefit stores of value assets, such as Gold, U.S. treasury bonds, and Bitcoin. The cryptocurrency has been suffering, McGlone argues because it’s deemed a nascent asset with relatively new technology. This disadvantage might fade into the background as Bitcoin’s adoption curve increases versus its total supply. As seen below, if the cryptocurrency follows the internet’s adoption curve, it could record over 1 billion users by 2025. BTC’s adoption curve compared to the internet. Source: Visbitcoin via Michael Levin In the short term, BTC’s price might benefit from mitigation in the macro-economic factors playing against it. The next major event will be July’s CPI print to be announced in August, which might result in more fuel for the current bullish price action. McGlone wrote: (Fed’s) “meeting by meeting” comment may mark the pivot for #Bitcoin to resume its tendency to outperform most assets. New and untested are becoming past tense fast for the benchmark crypto, likely in the early recovery days from a severe drawdown. Can Bitcoin Resume Its “Propensity To Outperform”? Further data provided by McGlone shows a decrease in BTC’s price 250-day volatility versus the Bloomberg Commodity Spot Index. As seen below, whenever this metric trends downside, the price of Bitcoin reacts moving in the opposite direction. BTC’s price volatility declines versus Bloomberg Commodity Index hinting at potential price appreciation. Source: Bloomberg Intelligence A decline in BTC’s price 250-day volatility marked the beginning of the 2012 and 2017 rallies. In that sense, McGlone pointed out: The lowest-ever Bitcoin volatility vs. the Bloomberg Commodity Index (BCOM) may portend a resumption of the crypto’s propensity to outperform (…). If history is a guide, Bitcoin volatility is more likely to recover vs. commodities when the crypto heads towards new highs.

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Impressive Rally Puts Bitcoin Above $24,000, But Is $28,000 Still Possible?

Bitcoin has rallied once more above $24,000. This impressive rally follows an intense week where the FOMC’s announcement has basically shown that the United States is now in a recession. Investors had flocked to the bitcoin off the back of the news, causing the digital asset to surge immensely during this time. As the digital asset has beat one important technical level, it remains to see if it can beat another. Accumulation Triggers Rally There are a lot of factors that usually trigger a rally, such as the one that has sent the price of bitcoin soaring high. One of those has been a renewed accumulation trend from investors who are flocking to the digital asset to provide cover during uncertain economic times. Such a rally, if it continues, can put the digital asset on a well-established bull trend. Related Reading | Bitcoin Bounces Off Consolidation Range, What Lies In Store? However, there are still obstacles in the way of bitcoin. This means that even though the digital asset continues to rise now, it could very well witness a reversal trend that sends it spiraling back downwards. To avoid such a fate, it is important that the sellers are completely cut out, replacing these investors and traders with more determined long-term holders. BTC's hold on $24,000 remains shaky | Source: BTCUSD on TradingView.com Whales have been a subset that has been trying to reverse the sell-offs. With the decline in bitcoin, it had presented an opportunity for investors to increase their holdings, and it was especially prominent among investors holding between 100-1,000 BTC on their balances. Can bitcoin Reach $28,000? Bitcoin’s recovery has put it on an impressive bullish path. However, this bullish trend has not been fully established. It has seen some obstacles along the way, and bears have begun to put up resistance in the market. An example has been at the $24,000 level. Although bitcoin has been able to beat this level multiple times, it continues to fight a hard battle to hold onto it. The mounting resistance at this point has proven to be an important level for bears to hold. Related Reading | Elevated Bitcoin Open Interest Levels Puts Market In Vulnerable Position For the cryptocurrency to reach $28,000, it would have to beat the resistance at $24,000 and further at $25,000. Furthermore, there is an expected resistance at $28,000, given that it was the yearly low for bitcoin in 2021. However, if accumulation continues to ramp up at the rate it is, the digital asset has a good chance of reaching this high. Featured image from GoBanking Rates, chart from TradingView.com Follow Best Owie on Twitter for market insights, updates, and the occasional funny tweet…

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Bitcoin Eyes $28k With A One-day Breakout

Bitcoin eyes $28,000 after a major breakout from the 1D 50 EMA resistance with a good volume. The Crypto market looks bullish on the low timeframe as major cryptocurrencies and altcoins gain relief bounces. Market Dumps Ahead Of FOMC Meeting The major buzz around the financial market over the past few days was focused on the FOMC. This has led to major cryptocurrencies dropping from key supports and resistance, with the likes of Bitcoin trading at around $20,700 and Ethereum going down to $1,376. Related Reading: Bitcoin Slips To 1-Week Low Ahead Of Fed Hike Rate Decision Before the FOMC meeting, rumors of a hike in rate led to the crypto market bouncing, with BTC rising to $22,000. On Wednesday, the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) raised its interest by 0.75% marking the highest rate increase since the 1980s. The Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell stated, “unusually large increase could be ideal in future meetings and a period of economic slowdown will be vital to bring back price stability.” Major cryptocurrencies in the market after the news have seen a good response, with BTC trading above $23,100 and approaching a crucial 1D 50 EMA resistance. Leading to many discussions in the market applauding the rally as it could signal more upsides and relieve bounces for altcoins. Related Reading: Bitcoin Makes Surprise Climb As Fed Discloses 0.75 Point Rate Bump “If 75bps gave us this pump, 100bps would send us to ATH surely,” @Livercoin “Ideal ingredients for a Summer Relief Rally are there: Powell becoming dovish on policy and more data-dependent. $ETH merge is coming up in September. Serious impact on 3AC, Celsius, and more already priced in. I’m seeing $ETH to $2,400 and $BTC to $28,000-30,000.” @CryptoMichNL Bitcoin Breaks One-day 50 EMA With Good Volume Bitcoin rallies with good volume, surging to a 10% increase earlier today, and if bulls can breakout above $24,300, then we would be up for a relief bounce up to $28,000. This is a region that BTC has had a tough time breaking after trading for more than a month in a range. BTC 1D 50 EMA Breakout | Source: Tradingview.com If BTC fails to break this major resistance, bulls would likely revisit the $21,000 – $20,700 to build more momentum for a potential breakout. If BTC fails and falls below $20,000, this will be invalidated as bears will have more power over the bulls. The State Of Bitcoin On The 4H Chart BTC on the 4H timeframe looks good as it needs to break above a minor resistance of $24,200 to soar higher to the region of $26,800 – $28,000. BTC On The 4H Chart Approaches $24200 Resistance | Source: Tradingview.com The overall market sentiment is improving after months of downtrend and loss of interest in the crypto market. The crypto market is in high expectation of the Ethereum merge that will come up soon. As BTC recovers with other major altcoins, more relief and belief would return to the market.

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TA: Bitcoin Price Gains Momentum, Why The Bulls Could Aim $25K

Bitcoin started a fresh increase above the $23,000 resistance zone against the US Dollar. BTC might continue to rise towards the $25,000 resistance zone. Bitcoin started a fresh increase and climbed above the $23,000 resistance. The price is now trading above the $23,000 level and the 100 hourly simple moving average. There is a short-term contracting triangle forming with resistance near $24,000 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair (data feed from Kraken). The pair must clear the $24,000 resistance to continue higher in the near term. Bitcoin Price Rises Steadily Bitcoin price remained well bid above the $22,000 support zone. It formed a base above the $22,500 level and started a fresh increase. The price was able to gain pace for a move above the $23,000 resistance zone. The bulls pumped the price above the $23,500 resistance. It even spiked above the $24,000 level and traded as high as $24,198. It is now trading above the $23,000 level and the 100 hourly simple moving average. There is also a short-term contracting triangle forming with resistance near $24,000 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair. It is also trading well above the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the $20,696 swing low to $24,198 high. Bitcoin price is facing resistance near the $24,000 level. Source: BTCUSD on TradingView.com The next key resistance is near the $24,200 zone. A close above the $24,200 resistance zone could set the pace for more gains. In the stated case, the price may perhaps rise towards the $24,500 level. The next major resistance sits near the $25,000 level. Dips Limited in BTC? If bitcoin fails to clear the $24,000 resistance zone, it could start a downside correction. An immediate support on the downside is near the $23,740 level. The next major support now sits near the $23,370 and $23,350 levels. Any more losses might send the price towards the 50% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the $20,696 swing low to $24,198 high at $22,450. A close below the $22,450 support zone might restart downtrend. Technical indicators: Hourly MACD – The MACD is now losing pace in the bullish zone. Hourly RSI (Relative Strength Index) – The RSI for BTC/USD is now correcting towards 60. Major Support Levels – $23,740, followed by $23,350. Major Resistance Levels – $24,000, $24,200 and $25,000.

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Elevated Bitcoin Open Interest Levels Puts Market In Vulnerable Position

Bitcoin has recovered above $23,000 multiple times now, but the digital asset remains in a perilous position. This is because the recovery alone has not been able to assure that the bull trend would endure. Rather, it has been falling the brief buying and selling pressures that have been plaguing investors in recent times. The bitcoin open interest also mirrors this fact and shows just how easy it would be for bitcoin to lose its position. Bitcoin Open Interest Stays Elevated For the past week, the bitcoin open interest has been on the rise. After hitting above 300k the previous week, there was no stopping this part of the market. However, it also pointed to more peculiarities about the current bitcoin uptrend. Related Reading | Why Cardano (ADA) May Breakout In A Bull Run To $1 For one, the elevated bitcoin-denominated open interest shows that there is very high leverage in the crypto market. As with any market, having such high leverage always puts the value of the digital asset in a perilous position. It could swing either way resulting in a short squeeze or a long squeeze. Whatever the case may end up being, the results are often the same; there are significant price swings that would go in either direction. BTC recovers above $23,000 | Source: BTCUSD on TradingView.com With the current movement of bitcoin, it is more likely that a long squeeze would be the end of it. This would likely see the price drop back down and touch $20,000. But if the off chance that it does end in a short squeeze, then bitcoin’s price could very well revisit $25,000. Funding Rates Fall Last week, the market had seen some much-needed bullish sentiment on the part of perpetual traders when the funding rates had recovered to neutral levels. Given that the funding rates had spent weeks swinging below neutral, this was a welcome change, however briefly. It would seem the positive recovery would only last a single week as bitcoin funding rates have begun to swing back into the negative. It shows a straight decline down from neutral, indicating that traders were returning to more careful trades. Funding rates fall below neutral | Source: Arcane Research Interestingly, though, is the fact that despite the decline in the funding rates, they still continue to maintain higher lows. It shows better prospects compared to the month of June, which was characterized by funding rates remaining perpetually below neutral. Related Reading | Bullish Sentiment Spills Over To Institutional Investors As Ethereum Inflows Balloons What this shows is that although bitcoin traders are being more careful, they have not entirely written off the digital asset. This improvement in market sentiment has shone through in bitcoin’s recent recovery. However, for this to continue, funding rates would need a reversal from here. Featured image from GoBankingRates, charts from Arcane Research and TradingView.com Follow Best Owie on Twitter for market insights, updates, and the occasional funny tw..

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Why The IMF Thinks The Crypto Market Could See “Further Selloffs”

The crypto market is trading in the green with Bitcoin and Ethereum pushing beyond critical resistance levels. The first and second cryptocurrencies by market capitalization record a 10% and 15% profit in the last day and seem poised for more profits during today’s trading session. Related Reading | Bitcoin Makes Surprise Climb As Fed Discloses 0.75 Point Rate Bump In order to get more clarity in terms of direction, Bitcoin must close the daily candle above $23,000 and Ethereum above $1,700. Data from Material Indicators records a thing order book on the sell side if BTC’s price can push above its current levels with high probabilities of hitting $28,000 in the short term. If this rally can push past $25k, then $28k comes into focus very quickly. If you are long, don’t forget to take profits along the way. When the bear wakes up from hibernation he’s going to be hangry. pic.twitter.com/YGe4Swu3wT — Material Indicators (@MI_Algos) July 28, 2022 In longer timeframes, macro-economic conditions will remain an obstacle to any sustainable rally. In that sense, Tobian Adrian, Director of Monetary and Capital Market for the International Monetary Fund (IMF) predicted more losses in the nascent asset class. In an interview with Yahoo Finance, Adrian spoke of the risk for the crypto market and risk-on assets, like stocks. For digital assets, Adrian believes that the collapse of a stablecoin could fuel another leg down. The IMF official said: There could be further failures of some of the coin offerings — in particular, some of the algorithmic stablecoins that have been hit most hard, and there are others that could fail. The IMF official referred to the collapse of the Terra (LUNA) ecosystem. This event led to the downfall of Three Arrows Capital, Celsius, and other companies in the crypto industry. Thus, contributing to the crash in the price of Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies. Adrian claims digital assets might face another similar event but doesn’t mention a specific project with the size of Terra that could trigger it. The IMF official believes stablecoins might add to the selling pressure in the nascent industry due to the alleged vulnerabilities in its collateral: There’s some vulnerability there, because they’re not backed one to one. [Some fiat-backed stablecoins] are backed by somewhat risky assets…it is certainly a vulnerability that some of the stablecoins are not fully backed by cash-like assets. BTC’s price with important gains on the 4-hour chart. Source: BTCUSDT Tradingview Will The Crypto Market Collapse If There Is A 2008 Like Recession? In addition to the alleged risk from stablecoins, the IMF official spoke about the potential risk of economic recession. The U.S. recently reported its second consecutive quarter with a negative GDP, which should technically spell economic recession. However, Adrian ruled out that the global market would see something like in 2008. At that time the financial sector was exposed to “shadow ba..

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Bitcoin Bounces Off Consolidation Range, What Lies In Store?

Bitcoin has been on a steady increase over the last two weeks. It has not been on the uptrend for all of this time, but the majority of the time, the digital asset has maintained this upward trajectory. This has seen it touch above $24,000 at one point after bouncing off its strong consolidation point. Now, as the digital asset trails $23,000, a couple of technical levels have begun to form beneath it. Bitcoin Begins To Form Support Bitcoin has broken above $23,000 once more, and support has begun to form. After previously losing its footing and falling to $21,000, the digital asset had seen support pushed down to $19,000, but this would change soon after. As bitcoin continues its uptrend, it is now looking at support at $21,000, much stronger than previously established. Related Reading | Bullish Sentiment Spills Over To Institutional Investors As Ethereum Inflows Balloons However, for the digital asset to continue on this bull rally, it would need to break some important technical levels. The first would be the $25,000 range, where the most resistance is currently being mounted. A widespread accumulation trend would be the only likely fuel to break through this level. After which, the nearest resistance would be formed at $28,000 due to it being the lowest point for the 2021 cycle. BTC continues recovery trend | Source: BTCUSD on TradingView.com On the other side of this, the digital asset still has some potential to fall back down. This would put it in the direct path of the $21,000 support, but this is unlikely to hold for the long term. The next significant support level would fall to $19,700, which represents the peak of the 2018 bull cycle. Hence, the support put up here would be strengthened compared to that at $19,000. But if this fails to hold, $17,600 would present to be the next important level due to being the current cycle low. Related Reading | Ripple (XRP) Is Up 190% From Cycle Low, But Will It Ever Reach $3? For now, as bitcoin climbs up, it is still expected to meet resistance at $24,000, which was the point it failed to beat last week. This makes it the most immediate threat for bulls in the quest to retake $30,000. This point determines if bitcoin would be able to break above the 50-day moving average, which would determine a bearish or bullish trend for the short term. Sell-offs remain the major thing that is pulling back the value of bitcoin, though. While the short term is beginning to turn in favor of buy, the long-term outlook still poses a sell for investors. These sell-offs, which are yet to reach a fatigue point, are most likely the culprit behind bitcoin’s inability to breach $24,000 successfully. Featured image from The Financial Express, chart from TradingView.com Follow Best Owie on Twitter for market insights, updates, and the occasional funny tweet…

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Bitcoin Makes Surprise Climb As Fed Discloses 0.75 Point Rate Bump

Bitcoin and the rest of the crypto market have been in a festive mood in response to the U.S. Federal Reserve’s interest rate hike, sending both Bitcoin and Ethereum climbing in prices. The Fed’s announcement has sent Bitcoin’s price up by 5%. As of this writing, Bitcoin is trading at $22,837, up 7 percent in the last 24 hours. More so, Ethereum’s price also spiked by 11.6%; hitting $1,550, data from Coingecko show, Thursday. In fact, the entire crypto market is on a positive outlook with the total crypto market cap at $1 trillion. Bitcoin was down the past week with its price plunging below $21,000. But, with Fed’s latest 0.75% rate bump, the BTC price has skyrocketed once again. Fed Battling Inflation With Interest Rate Hikes The Federal Reserve attempts to buffer inflation with a 0.75% rate increase. The central bank’s move on the rate hike is said to be in the country’s best interest especially since the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics recently broke it to the public that the Consumer Price Index or inflation rate is at 9.1% in June, a 40-year high. The Fed’s continuing rate hikes have sent the negative message that the country could be in danger of a recession. It triggered a domino effect. Following the Fed’s rate hike, the U.S. interest rates have also spiked at a range of 2.25% and 2.5% which is at extreme levels since the COVID-19 pandemic started. The U.S. central bank has recently revealed this development at the Federal Open Market Committee held Wednesday. Related Reading | BNB Basks In The Green As Price Glows 5.84% In Fields Of Red Survey: 96% Of Americans Worried About Inflation The Fed has been trying to put a rein on the high prices with an increase in interest rates for the longest time. U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics disclosed that the biggest factors adding up to the inflation rate are shelter, gasoline, and food price hikes. Reportedly, a CNBC poll revealed that around 96% of Americans have been particularly worried or concerned lately regarding the gas, shelter, and food price increase. Image: Beinchain To beat inflation, the Fed has the option to constrict the supply of money. So, it resorts to bumping the interest rates which in effect, makes loans expensive. The 0.75% rate hike was expected although it was earlier ruminated that the central bank may go for a 1% rate hike when inflation mellowed in June. Related Reading | GNOX Set To Overtake APE, MATIC As Token’s Price Continues Ascent The recurring high prices and interest rate hikes have fueled fear in citizens as the danger of a recession continues to escalate. It has heightened levels of uncertainty in global markets especially because a recession would most likely happen following two straight quarterly GDP drops. The GDP as presented by the Bureau of Economic Analysis has shown that the economy has dwindled by 1.6% as shown in the first financial quarter and economists are concerned that a decline is possible too for the second quarter. GDP Q2 numbe..

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Bitcoin Miners Send 14K BTC To One Block. Bullish News For The Market?

After the official US inflation numbers were released, bitcoin prices started to rise. However, during the previous month, the BTC miners have increased their outflow. A new set of tax policies targeted at preventing domestic cryptocurrency mining were unveiled by Kazakhstan, which is still a significant nation in the world of Bitcoin mining. During a halt in worldwide activity and fire sales connected to recent bankruptcy-related news, prices for Bitcoin mining rigs are also said to have fallen to epidemic lows for 2020. Most significantly, Texas power grid operators have asked all Bitcoin miners to cease operations in order to lessen the strain on a power grid that is already overloaded. Bitcoin Miners Inflow Reach New ATH IT Tech reports that Bitcoin miners transferred over 14,000 BTC to an exchange in a single block. The transfer from the miner wallet to the exchange was noted as being unfavorable for the market. According to their definition of mining pool wallets in their stats, all pool members—including the specific miner—are included. One user did point out that those Bitcoin were not reflected in the spot market or derivatives, though. Glassnode reported that the BTC Miners’ Netflow Volume on a 7-day moving average (MA) basis hit an all-time high (ATH) of $1,779,953. In the first week of January 2022, an ATH of $1,700,940 was registered. This outflow did not stop on the exchange wallet, according to Ki Young Ju, CEO of CryptoQuant. It will probably end up in a custodial cold wallet. This can be utilized as an OTC deal or as a custodial service. In his opinion, the news is either bullish or neutral. Miner just moved 14k $BTC: Poolin participants → Unknown wallet It didn’t go to an exchange wallet but more like a custodial cold wallet. It could be for using a custodian service or an OTC deal. It’s neutral or bullish news. Nice catch @IT_Tech_PL https://t.co/G25DsK2nR6 https://t.co/rYmqVaoTAR — Ki Young Ju (@ki_young_ju) July 15, 2022 Related Reading | Mid Cap Crypto Coins Lead In July, Best Way To Weather The Winter? Price May Surge? Additionally, open interest is increasing, according to IT Tech, and the market may soon experience growth. The Bitcoin miner reserves have decreased during the last two weeks, according to the study. This, however, may be a significant sign of waning confidence in a price turnaround. Within the past 24 hours, the price of bitcoin has increased by more than 6%. BTC is currently trading for $20,953 on average. Its 24 hour trading volume is up by 2% to stand at $32.8 billion. BTC active addresses have grown during the past 24 hours, says Santiment. The number was close to a million at press time, compared to 860,000 on July 14. This demonstrates that investor mood is quickly improving. Source: Santiment The volume, which changed from 28.13 billion to 31.64 billion, is in a comparable scenario. For Bitcoin maximalists, the increase in price over the past 24 hours on July 15 may be a sign of relief..

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